TAR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 6, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 1 3 2 211+2
- 10Artur Mroczka2 0 2 04+2
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 3 1 3 212
- 12Leon Madsen1 2 3 3 312+1
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 211
- 14Arkadiusz Madej0 0 00
- 15Ernest Koza2 0 0 13+1
- 1Grzegorz Walasek1 D 1 0 U2+1
- 2Krzysztof Jabłoński0 11
- 3Andreas Jonsson0 1 1 1 2 16+1
- 5Darcy Ward2 2 2 2 3 W 314+1
- 6Alex Zgardziński1 1 02+1
- 7Krystian Pieszczek3 1 2 3 2 0 112+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIED
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIEU
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 32 → 28 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | ZIE | TAR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 7 | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Darcy Ward | 7 | 13.8 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 10.3 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.8 | 2 | -6.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.