LES vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 26, 2015 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314
- 10Tomas H Jonasson1 1 1 03+1
- 11Tobiasz Musielak1 0 2 14+1
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 3 2 211+2
- 13Grzegorz Zengota1 3 2 2 08+1
- 14Piotr Pawlicki3 D 3 28
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 2 04+1
- 1Martin Vaculik3 2 3 2 3 013+1
- 2Artur Mroczka0 3 1 3 1 19
- 3Leon Madsen0 1 W 12
- 4Kenneth Bjerre2 2 2 06
- 5Janusz Kołodziej3 2 1 17
- 6Ernest Koza1 0 0 01
- 7Damian Dąbrowski0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Damian Dąbrowski · TAR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESD
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Damian Dąbrowski · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | TAR | LES | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.1 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Artur Mroczka | 6 | 4.8 | 9 | +4.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 13.0 | 13 | -0.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Damian Dąbrowski | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.