GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 26, 2015 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 314+1
- 10Daniel Jeleniewski2 2 3 0 07+2
- 11Rafał Okoniewski0 2 2 26+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 3 2 211+3
- 13Tomasz Gollob2 3 1 3 211
- 14Mike TrzensiokW 0 00
- 15Marcin Nowak1 0 01
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 3 1 3 112+1
- 2Piotr Świderski0 00
- 3Matej Zagar2 2 1 2 1 D8
- 4Tomasz Gapiński1 1 0 02+2
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 0 13
- 6Adrian Cyfer2 02+1
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 1 1 313+1
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Piotr Świderski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRUW
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Piotr Świderski · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 3.1 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 12.8 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Piotr Świderski | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.0 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 7.8 | 3 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.