TAR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 27, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 3 3 2 313
- 10Artur Mroczka1 2 1 2 28+3
- 11Leon Madsen1 3 2 3 110+1
- 12Kenneth Bjerre3 0 1 04+1
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 3 214+1
- 14Arkadiusz Madej0 0 11
- 15Ernest Koza2 0 13
- 1Kacper Gomolski0 1 0 2 03+1
- 3Chris Holder2 1 0 03+1
- 4Jason Doyle0 2 2 3 3 111
- 5Adrian Miedziński2 1 3 1 1 08
- 6Paweł Przedpełski3 3 W6
- 7Oskar Fajfer1 1 2 2 0 M6+1
Heat by heat
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TORM
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | TOR | TAR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.