TOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 20, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 1 0 15+1
- 10Kacper Gomolski1 2 3 2 08
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 2 2 3 09
- 12Grigorij Laguta0 0 00
- 13Jason Doyle1 2 1 04+1
- 14Oskar FajferT 0 11
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 3 2 1 3 113+1
- 1Martin Vaculik2 3 0 2 29
- 2Artur Mroczka0 1 3 15
- 3Leon Madsen3 1 1 3 19+2
- 4Kenneth Bjerre1 3 2 2 210+2
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 3 3 3 314
- 6Ernest Koza1 0 W1
- 7Arkadiusz Madej2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Ernest Koza · TARW
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 13 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | TAR | TOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 3 | 4.8 | 0 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.