TAR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 13, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 1 3 3 111
- 10Artur Mroczka1 3 2 0 28+2
- 11Kenneth Bjerre2 0 0 13
- 12Leon Madsen1 2 3 1 310+1
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 3 314
- 14Arkadiusz Madej2 1 03
- 15Ernest Koza1 0 01+1
- 1Tai Woffinden2 3 3 1 312+1
- 2Vaclav Milik0 1 1 2 D4
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak0 2 0 13
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 1 0 26
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 1 27+1
- 6Damian Dróżdż0 00
- 7Maksym Drabik3 1 2 2 08+2
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WROD
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SE
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TAR | WRO | TAR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.