WRO vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, September 10, 2015 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 2 2 3 313
- 10Vaclav Milik1 1 1 36+2
- 11Tomasz Jędrzejak0 1 12+1
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 3 0 310
- 13Maciej Janowski1 3 3 2 09+1
- 14Damian Dróżdż2 0 13+1
- 15Maksym Drabik3 3 0 3 211+1
- 1Martin Vaculik2 3 1 1 2 211+1
- 2Artur Mroczka0 00
- 3Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 0 08
- 4Leon Madsen1 1 0 2 15+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 3 2 2 1 111+2
- 6Ernest Koza1 0 01
- 7Arkadiusz Madej0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1*
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.9 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| WRO | TAR | WRO | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.1 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Artur Mroczka | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.