ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 23, 2015 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek2 3 2 3 313+2
- 10Grzegorz Walasek3 1 3 310
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 2 2 312+1
- 12Andreas Jonsson3 2 0 16+1
- 13Darcy Ward2 3 3 2 W10+1
- 14Alex Zgardziński0 0 00
- 15Krystian Pieszczek3 1 1 16+1
- 1Rafał Okoniewski1 1 0 3 16
- 2Tomasz Gollob0 D 2 D2
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 1 1 04+1
- 4Jurica Pavlic0 2 0 02
- 5Artem Laguta3 2 3 2 212
- 6Hubert Legowik1 0 1 24+1
- 7Marcin Nowak2 0 13
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Hubert Legowik · GRU1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRUD
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Darcy Ward · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Darcy Ward · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRUD
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Hubert Legowik · GRU1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Hubert Legowik · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.5 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Hubert Legowik | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 4 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.