TOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 23, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 2 1 2 19
- 10Kacper Gomolski1 1 0 02+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński0 D 33
- 12Grigorij Laguta2 1 2 1 T6+1
- 13Jason Doyle1 2 1 3 07
- 14Oskar Fajfer2 0 1 14+2
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 3 3 3 214
- 1Martin Vaculik2 2 2 2 311+1
- 2Artur MroczkaT 3 0 14+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre3 1 2 2 08+1
- 4Leon Madsen1 3 3 D 310
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 3 1 3 211+1
- 6Ernest Koza0 W 0 00
- 7Patryk Rolnicki1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Leon Madsen · TARD
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | TAR | TOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 8.9 | 14 | +5.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.