TAR vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 16, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 2 3 2 110+2
- 10Artur Mroczka0 3 2 3 19+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 2 1 2 08+1
- 12Leon Madsen2 1 T 14+3
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 2 212+1
- 14Damian Dąbrowski1 0 01
- 15Ernest Koza2 0 0 24
- 1Greg Hancock3 3 3 3 3 318
- 2Karol Baran1 0 1 W2
- 3Dawid Lampart1 2 1 1 3 08
- 4Mirosław JabłońskiU 00
- 5Kenni Larsen1 1 0 02+1
- 6Artur CzajaU 00
- 7Krystian Rempała3 2 1 3 1 212+2
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Karol Baran · RZE1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Krystian Rempała · RZE3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Damian Dąbrowski · TAR1
- Artur Czaja · RZEU
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZEU
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Krystian Rempała · RZE2
- Kenni Larsen · RZE1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Karol Baran · RZE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Dawid Lampart · RZE2
- Krystian Rempała · RZE1*
- Damian Dąbrowski · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Kenni Larsen · RZE1
- Artur Czaja · RZE0
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Karol Baran · RZE1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · RZE0
- Krystian Rempała · RZE3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Kenni Larsen · RZE0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE1
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Krystian Rempała · RZE1
- Damian Dąbrowski · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Kenni Larsen · RZE0
- Dawid Lampart · RZE3
- Krystian Rempała · RZE2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · RZE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | RZE | TAR | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Rempała | 6 | 6.1 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 13.5 | 18 | +4.5 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Dawid Lampart | 6 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 3 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Karol Baran | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Damian Dąbrowski | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Artur Czaja | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kenni Larsen | 4 | 7.6 | 2 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.