GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 16, 2015 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Daniel Jeleniewski3 0 W 14+1
- 10Tomasz Gollob2 1 3 2 210+2
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 3 3 3 315
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 0 2 2 17+3
- 13Artem Laguta3 1 3 1 210+1
- 14Marcin Nowak2 0 02
- 15Hubert Legowik0 1 01
- 1Jason Doyle1 2 1 1 05+2
- 2Kacper Gomolski0 1 2 03+1
- 3Chris Holder1 3 2 3 110
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 2 13+1
- 5Grigorij LagutaW 3 1 3 07
- 6Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 0 310+1
- 7Oskar Fajfer1 2 W3
Heat by heat
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Hubert Legowik · GRU1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 → 28 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h E
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 30 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.8 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Hubert Legowik | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.4 | 5 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.