TAR vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 9, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 47 : 43 WRO

TAR

9Martin Vaculik3 2 2 1 210+1
10Artur Mroczka1 0 01
11Kenneth Bjerre3 3 0 3 110+1
12Leon Madsen2 2 1 2 310+2
13Janusz Kołodziej1 3 1 2 29+1
14Damian Dąbrowski1 0 01+1
15Ernest Koza2 0 3 16+1

WRO

1Tai Woffinden2 1 2 2 07
2Nikolaj Busk Jakobsen0 0 00
3Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 1 3 06
4Tomasz Jędrzejak1 1 02+1
5Maciej Janowski2 3 3 3 3 317+1
6Adrian Gała0 11+1
7Maksym Drabik3 3 1 2 0 110+1

Heat by heat

Heat 168.90 s4:2

Heat 268.67 s3:3

Maksym Drabik · WRO3
Ernest Koza · TAR2
Damian Dąbrowski · TAR1*
Adrian Gała · WRO0

Heat 369.98 s5:1

Heat 468.70 s1:5

Heat 569.81 s5:1

Heat 669.39 s3:3

Heat 770.47 s2:4

Heat 870.23 s4:2

Heat 969.89 s2:4

Heat 1070.15 s1:5

Maciej Janowski · WRO3
Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
Leon Madsen · TAR1
Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0

Heat 1170.41 s3:3

Heat 1269.88 s3:3

Heat 1369.38 s3:3

Heat 1470.39 s5:1

Heat 1570.13 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 34 → 32 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 6 km/h W; gusts up to 18 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 33 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	TAR	WRO	TAR	WRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+4	82 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+4	88 %
10	0	56 %
11	0	48 %
12	0	57 %
13	0	56 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Maciej Janowski	6	11.2	17	+5.8
Ernest Koza	4	3.0	6	+3.0
Maksym Drabik	6	8.1	10	+1.9
Kenneth Bjerre	5	8.2	10	+1.8
Leon Madsen	5	8.6	10	+1.4
Martin Vaculik	5	8.8	10	+1.2
Adrian Gała	2	1.8	1	-0.8
Tomasz Jędrzejak	3	3.3	2	-1.3
Damian Dąbrowski	3	2.5	1	-1.5
Janusz Kołodziej	5	10.6	9	-1.6
Nikolaj Busk Jakobsen	3	1.8	0	-1.8
Artur Mroczka	3	2.9	1	-1.9
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	8.2	6	-2.2
Tai Woffinden	5	10.9	7	-3.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.4768.67 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 33.0:31.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.90 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source