GRU vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 26, 2015 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Daniel Jeleniewski2 0 2 04+1
- 10Tomasz Gollob3 3 1 2 110+2
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 3 3 3 113
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 2 1 D5+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 1 3 313
- 14Hubert Legowik0 1 01
- 15Marcin Nowak1 0 01
- 1Tai Woffinden1 2 3 1 2 211
- 2Vaclav Milik0 00
- 3Tomasz Jędrzejak0 0 00
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 3 0 2 09+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 1 3 210+1
- 6Maksym Drabik3 1 2 1 310+3
- 7Adrian Gała2 1 03+2
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Adrian Gała · WRO2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Adrian Gała · WRO1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2
- Hubert Legowik · GRU1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Adrian Gała · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRUD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GRU | WRO | GRU | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.5 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Hubert Legowik | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 15.0 | 11 | -4.0 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 3 | 5.0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.