TAR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 26, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 2 2 1 29+1
- 10Artur Mroczka3 1 0 3 07+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre2 1 2 2 07+2
- 12Leon Madsen3 2 1 3 211+1
- 13Janusz Kołodziej1 2 1 26+1
- 14Arkadiusz Madej1 0 01+1
- 15Ernest Koza2 0 02
- 1Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 3 312+1
- 2Tomas H Jonasson0 0 3 03
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 3 1 17
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 3 1 04
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 0 2 18+1
- 6Dominik Kubera0 0 11
- 7Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 312
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | LES | TAR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.