GOR vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 28, 2015 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 63 : 27 GRU

GOR

9Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 2 212+1
10Linus Sundstroem1 1 0 24+2
11Matej Zagar3 3 3 3 315
12Piotr Świderski2 2 1 05+2
13Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 0 38+1
14Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 311+1
15Adrian Cyfer1 2 3 28+2

GRU

1Artem Laguta3 1 1 1 17+1
2Jurica Pavlic0 00
3Tomasz Gollob1 1 2 0 04
4Rafał Okoniewski0 0 1 3 1 05+1
5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 2 2 1 19
6Marcin Nowak2 D 0 D2
7Hubert LegowikD 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.53 s3:3

Heat 261.66 s4:2

Heat 361.62 s5:1

Heat 462.00 s5:1

Heat 561.52 s5:1

Matej Zagar · GOR3
Piotr Świderski · GOR2*
Artem Laguta · GRU1
Jurica Pavlic · GRU0

Heat 661.51 s5:1

Heat 761.73 s4:2

Heat 862.13 s3:3

Heat 962.08 s3:3

Heat 1062.53 s4:2

Heat 1162.45 s5:1

Heat 1262.28 s5:1

Matej Zagar · GOR3
Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
Artem Laguta · GRU1
Marcin Nowak · GRUD

Heat 1363.03 s2:4

Heat 1462.52 s5:1

Heat 1563.11 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 18 → 19 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 10 km/h N; gusts up to 36 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.8 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 64 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	17	7	+10	−10
5–7	14	4	+10	−10
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	10	2	+8	−8
	GOR	GRU	GOR	GRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+10	98 %
5	+14	100 %
6	+18	99 %
7	+20	100 %
8	+20	100 %
9	+20	100 %
10	+22	100 %
11	+26	100 %
12	+30	100 %
13	+28	100 %
14	+32	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Matej Zagar	5	9.8	15	+5.2
Adrian Cyfer	4	4.3	8	+3.7
Krzysztof Kasprzak	4	5.0	8	+3.0
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	10.0	12	+2.0
Bartosz Zmarzlik	4	9.5	11	+1.5
Piotr Świderski	4	3.7	5	+1.3
Marcin Nowak	4	2.5	2	-0.5
Hubert Legowik	2	0.8	0	-0.8
Linus Sundstroem	4	5.0	4	-1.0
Jurica Pavlic	2	1.9	0	-1.9
Rafał Okoniewski	6	7.4	5	-2.4
Krzysztof Buczkowski	6	11.8	9	-2.8
Artem Laguta	5	10.0	7	-3.0
Tomasz Gollob	5	8.3	4	-4.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.1160.53 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 30.0:26.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.53 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source