LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 15, 2014 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 W 39+1
- 10Mikkel Michelsen0 00
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 3 1 3 111
- 12Grzegorz Zengota2 1 W 2 16+1
- 13Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 3 3 09+1
- 14Piotr Pawlicki2 0 13
- 15Tobiasz Musielak1 2 2 3 210+3
- 1Darcy Ward3 2 0 2 29+1
- 2Chris Holder2 0 1 1 26+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński0 1 D1
- 4Tomasz Gollob1 3 1 D 05
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 3 313+1
- 6Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 0 07+1
- 7Oskar Fajfer0 00
Heat by heat
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TORD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +11 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.4 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.