TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 8, 2014 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder0 3 1 15+2
- 10Darcy Ward2 2 2 2 311+2
- 11Tomasz Gollob0 2 2 3 18+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński2 1 3 2 311+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow2 1 3 3 211+1
- 14Oskar Fajfer2 3 16+1
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 1 15
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 0 01
- 2Grzegorz Zengota3 3 0 0 W6
- 3Nicki Pedersen3 2 2 3 1 112
- 4Mikkel Michelsen1 0 01
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 0 1 0 04
- 6Piotr Pawlicki1 1 2 3 29
- 7Tobiasz Musielak0 W 00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES1
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 2.5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.7 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.