LES vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 1, 2014 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 1 2 2 2 312+1
- 10Grzegorz Zengota0 11+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre0 1 3 1 1 06
- 12Damian Baliński2 D2
- 13Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 D 03
- 14Tobiasz Musielak2 1 3 0 17+2
- 15Piotr Pawlicki1 3 0 1 27+1
- 1Martin Vaculik3 3 2 D 08+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 3 211+1
- 3Artem Laguta3 0 03
- 4Greg Hancock1 3 3 1 311
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 3 1 3 110+1
- 6Kacper Gomolski3 2 2 29+2
- 7Ernest Koza0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · TAR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Greg Hancock · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LESD
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Artem Laguta · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LESD
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Artem Laguta · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Martin Vaculik · TARD
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Greg Hancock · TAR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 15 km/h N
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | TAR | LES | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 5.3 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.2 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Damian Baliński | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Artem Laguta | 3 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.