TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 25, 2014 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 55 : 35 GOR
TOR
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 159.19 s4:2
Heat 259.19 s3:3
Heat 358.63 s5:1
Heat 459.43 s3:3
Heat 560.00 s5:1
Heat 660.56 s1:5
Heat 759.88 s5:1
Heat 859.94 s5:1
Heat 960.34 s3:3
Heat 1059.78 s2:4
Heat 1160.31 s5:1
Heat 1260.81 s4:2
Heat 1361.28 s4:2
Heat 1460.43 s2:4
Heat 1560.81 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
22 → 19 °C
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind
7 km/h NE
gusts up to 26 km/h
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.8 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
75 %
Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7117+4−4
8–10108+2−2
11–13135+8−8
14–156600
TORGORTORGOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+690 %
5+1096 %
6+688 %
7+1097 %
8+14100 %
9+14100 %
10+12100 %
11+16100 %
12+18100 %
13+20100 %
14+18100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Emil Sajfutdinow58.112+3.9
Adrian Miedziński57.310+2.7
Tomasz Gollob58.611+2.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik57.08+1.0
Chris Holder46.87+0.2
Paweł Przedpełski34.04-0.0
Matej Zagar59.09-0.0
Oskar Fajfer33.23-0.2
Piotr Świderski67.47-0.4
Darcy Ward59.18-1.1
Adrian Cyfer21.30-1.3
Linus Sundstroem21.80-1.8
Tomasz Gapiński44.93-1.9
Niels Kristian Iversen611.48-3.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.2858.63 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.0:35.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.30 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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