TAR vs GDA

PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, April 21, 2014 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 63 : 27 GDA
TAR
GDA

Heat by heat

Heat 169.36 s5:1
Heat 269.13 s5:1
Heat 369.52 s5:1
Heat 468.70 s3:3
Heat 569.41 s5:1
Heat 669.28 s5:1
Heat 768.58 s4:2
Heat 870.42 s5:1
Heat 969.38 s4:2
Heat 1069.40 s4:2
Heat 1170.79 s5:1
Heat 1269.35 s3:3
Heat 1368.67 s4:2
Heat 1469.83 s3:3
Heat 1569.31 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
21 → 19 °C
Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Wind
9 km/h S
gusts up to 31 km/h
Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
43 %
Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4186+12−12
5–7144+10−10
8–10135+8−8
11–13126+6−6
14–156600
TARGDATARGDA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TAR
010203040115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+896 %
3+1298 %
4+1296 %
5+16100 %
6+2099 %
7+22100 %
8+26100 %
9+28100 %
10+30100 %
11+34100 %
12+34100 %
13+36100 %
14+36100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Martin Vaculik58.814+5.2
Leon Madsen58.412+3.6
Ernest Koza33.26+2.8
Kacper Gomolski34.15+0.9
Tomas H Jonasson56.37+0.7
Greg Hancock510.911+0.1
Artem Laguta48.38-0.3
Janusz Kołodziej512.512-0.5
Artur Mroczka55.75-0.7
Krzysztof Buczkowski58.37-1.3
Marcel Szymko41.80-1.8
Krystian Pieszczek44.52-2.5
Dominik Kossakowski32.80-2.8
Renat Gafurov44.31-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.7968.58 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.3:34.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −3.63 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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