TAR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, September 24, 2014 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 42 : 48 LES

TAR

9Martin Vaculik2 3 2 3 3 316
10Jacob ThorssellD 00
11Artem Laguta3 1 1 1 3 110+3
12Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 2 2 W6+1
13Janusz Kołodziej2 2 2 0 17
14Ernest Koza0 00
15Kacper Gomolski2 1 0 03+1

LES

1Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 2 213
2Damian Baliński1 0 1 13+1
3Grzegorz Zengota1 3 0 2 39+1
4Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 3 1 07
5Bartosz Smektała0 22+1
6Piotr Pawlicki1 1 0 13+2
7Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 3 011

Heat by heat

Heat 172.02 s2:4

Heat 271.65 s2:4

Heat 371.40 s3:3

Heat 471.22 s3:3

Heat 572.70 s3:3

Heat 671.22 s2:4

Heat 770.86 s3:3

Heat 871.37 s2:4

Heat 971.10 s3:3

Heat 1070.94 s3:3

Heat 1172.14 s3:3

Heat 1270.94 s3:3

Heat 1371.39 s5:1

Heat 1470.75 s1:5

Heat 1570.91 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 10 °C; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Wind: 5 km/h SE; gusts up to 21 km/h; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 78 %; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	TAR	LES	TAR	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-8	12 %
10	-8	5 %
11	-8	8 %
12	-8	7 %
13	-4	14 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Martin Vaculik	6	10.8	16	+5.2
Nicki Pedersen	5	9.9	13	+3.1
Tobiasz Musielak	5	8.3	11	+2.7
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	4.5	7	+2.5
Grzegorz Zengota	5	7.1	9	+1.9
Bartosz Smektała	2	1.2	2	+0.8
Damian Baliński	4	3.2	3	-0.2
Ernest Koza	2	1.3	0	-1.3
Kacper Gomolski	4	4.4	3	-1.4
Artem Laguta	6	11.4	10	-1.4
Jacob Thorssell	2	1.6	0	-1.6
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	7.7	6	-1.7
Janusz Kołodziej	5	11.1	7	-4.1
Piotr Pawlicki	4	7.6	3	-4.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 72.7070.75 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 41.3:26.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.27

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source