TOR vs GDA
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 7, 2014 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 3 2 3 314+1
- 10Karol Ząbik1 2 3 2 311+2
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 2 2 39+3
- 12Tomasz Gollob3 3 28+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 39
- 14Oskar Fajfer2 2 3 2 211+4
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 3 212+3
- 1Artur Mroczka2 1 1 1 05
- 2Aureliusz Bieliński0 0 0 00
- 3Marcel Szymko1 1 1 1 04
- 4Cyprian Szymko0 D 0 D0
- 5Renat Gafurov1 1 1 1 15
- 6Patryk Beśko1 0 0 12
- 7Dominik Kossakowski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Artur Mroczka · GDA2
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Patryk Beśko · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDAD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Patryk Beśko · GDA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDA0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Marcel Szymko · GDA1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Artur Mroczka · GDA1
- Patryk Beśko · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Cyprian Szymko · GDAD
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Patryk Beśko · GDA1
- Marcel Szymko · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Artur Mroczka · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 16 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| TOR | GDA | TOR | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +18 | 100 % |
| 6 | +22 | 99 % |
| 7 | +26 | 100 % |
| 8 | +30 | 100 % |
| 9 | +34 | 100 % |
| 10 | +38 | 100 % |
| 11 | +42 | 100 % |
| 12 | +46 | 100 % |
| 13 | +50 | 100 % |
| 14 | +54 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Ząbik | 5 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 3 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 3 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Marcel Szymko | 5 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Renat Gafurov | 5 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Patryk Beśko | 4 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Cyprian Szymko | 4 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Aureliusz Bieliński | 4 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.