WRO vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 24, 2014 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 32 : 58 TOR
WRO
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 161.90 s2:4
Heat 261.77 s3:3
Heat 361.37 s1:5
Heat 460.93 s1:5
Heat 562.10 s1:5
Heat 661.77 s3:3
Heat 761.39 s2:4
Heat 862.28 s1:5
Heat 961.94 s2:4
Heat 1061.45 s3:3
Heat 1162.13 s3:3
Heat 1262.69 s5:1
Heat 1362.07 s2:4
Heat 1462.22 s2:4
Heat 1561.98 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
15 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
13 km/h W
gusts up to 47 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
1.7 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
57 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4717−10+10
5–7612−6+6
8–10612−6+6
11–13108+2−2
14–1539−6+6
WROTORWROTOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
-25-20-15-10-5115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-253 %
2-254 %
3-632 %
4-108 %
5-140 %
6-144 %
7-164 %
8-201 %
9-221 %
10-222 %
11-221 %
12-180 %
13-200 %
14-220 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Patryk Malitowski42.06+4.0
Chris Holder57.911+3.1
Emil Sajfutdinow510.813+2.2
Troy Batchelor68.310+1.7
Tomasz Gollob46.78+1.3
Darcy Ward511.012+1.0
Adrian Miedziński46.57+0.5
Jurica Pavlic56.56-0.5
Patryk Dolny32.11-1.1
Tomasz Jędrzejak44.73-1.7
Oskar Fajfer33.82-1.8
Zbigniew Suchecki21.90-1.9
Paweł Przedpełski47.65-2.6
Maciej Janowski610.16-4.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.6960.93 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.0:24.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.20 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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