TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 21, 2013 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder0 1 3 15+1
- 10Kamil Brzozowski2 2 0 37
- 11Adrian Miedziński3 3 3 3 214+1
- 12Darcy Ward2 2 1 3 210+2
- 13Tomasz Gollob2 3 3 1 312
- 14Emil Pulczyński2 2 2 06+2
- 15Paweł PrzedpełskiW 0 U0
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak3 1 1 1 1 18+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński1 0 01
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 2 2 0 39
- 4Łukasz Jankowski00
- 5Daniel Nermark1 3 2 2 2 010
- 6Łukasz Cyran1 01
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 0 0 0 17
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Łukasz Jankowski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2
- Daniel Nermark · GOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Daniel Nermark · GOR3
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Daniel Nermark · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TORU
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Daniel Nermark · GOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Daniel Nermark · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Daniel Nermark · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 9 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.9 | 14 | +6.1 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 4 | 2.2 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 4 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Daniel Nermark | 6 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Łukasz Jankowski | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Łukasz Cyran | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 12.2 | 9 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.