TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 15, 2013 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Adrian Miedziński2 3 W 2 1 210
- 10Kamil Brzozowski1 D 01+1
- 11Darcy Ward2 2 3 3 3 114+2
- 13Tomasz Gollob3 3 2 3 1 315
- 14Emil PulczyńskiW 0 00
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 1 1 1 0 06
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 0 2 2 310
- 2Jonas Davidsson0 00
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 3 3 212
- 4Krzysztof Jabłoński0 1 1 W2
- 5Andreas Jonsson2 1 2 2 2 09
- 6Patryk Dudek2 3 2 1 19+2
- 7Kamil Adamczewski1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR1*
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE1
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Kamil Brzozowski · TORD
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE1
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Kamil Adamczewski · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h S
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 98 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 10 | −3 | +3 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +3 | 82 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +3 | 88 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +1 | 73 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| Darcy Ward | 6 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.