LES vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 9, 2013 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 45 : 45 TOR

LES

9Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 0 29+1
10Damian Baliński3 0 0 14
11Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 0 07+1
12Grzegorz Zengota3 1 1 3 08+1
13Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 0 312
14Tobiasz Musielak0 0 11
15Piotr Pawlicki3 T 14

TOR

1Chris Holder1 2 2 0 2 2 211+2
2Kamil Brzozowski0 00
3Adrian Miedziński0 1 1 3 1 17+2
5Tomasz Gollob1 2 2 2 0 29
6Paweł Przedpełski2 1 3 3 3 3 116+2
7Kamil Pulczyński1 12+1

Heat by heat

Heat 160.50 s5:1

Heat 260.53 s3:3

Heat 360.06 s5:1

Heat 460.49 s3:3

Heat 560.28 s4:2

Heat 660.06 s3:3

Heat 760.28 s3:3

Heat 860.47 s4:2

Heat 960.37 s2:4

Heat 1060.50 s3:3

Heat 1160.87 s1:5

Heat 1260.53 s1:5

Heat 1360.53 s3:3

Heat 1460.94 s2:4

Heat 1560.32 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Rain; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 23 → 20 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 7 km/h NE; gusts up to 21 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 2.1 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 1.2 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 66 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	5	13	−8	+8
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	LES	TOR	LES	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+8	94 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+10	97 %
7	+10	97 %
8	+12	98 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+6	92 %
12	+2	73 %
13	+2	74 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Paweł Przedpełski	7	6.0	16	+10.0
Kenneth Bjerre	5	6.7	12	+5.3
Grzegorz Zengota	5	6.9	8	+1.1
Kamil Pulczyński	2	1.5	2	+0.5
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	8.9	9	+0.1
Damian Baliński	4	4.5	4	-0.5
Piotr Pawlicki	3	4.8	4	-0.8
Kamil Brzozowski	2	1.2	0	-1.2
Fredrik Lindgren	5	8.4	7	-1.4
Tomasz Gollob	6	11.4	9	-2.4
Tobiasz Musielak	3	3.8	1	-2.8
Chris Holder	7	14.5	11	-3.5
Adrian Miedziński	6	11.5	7	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.9460.06 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 39.0:25.7 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.27

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source