TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 15, 2013 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Darcy Ward2 1 2 16+1
- 10Kamil Brzozowski0 2 02
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 3 2 3 212+2
- 12Ryan Sullivan3 2 0 2 29+1
- 13Tomasz Gollob2 3 3 2 313+1
- 14Kamil Pulczyński1 0 01
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 1 0 3 18+2
- 2Grzegorz Zengota3 1 1 16+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 3 0 0 19
- 4Damian Baliński0 1 1 13+2
- 5Kenneth Bjerre1 3 3 3 3 3 016
- 6Piotr Pawlicki2 0 D 1 2 05
- 7Marcin Nowak0 00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES1
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Marcin Nowak · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Marcin Nowak · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESD
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Kamil Brzozowski · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 7 | 9.7 | 16 | +6.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Darcy Ward | 4 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 7 | 12.4 | 9 | -3.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 10.4 | 5 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.