GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 3, 2012 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Tomasz GollobD 2 0 02
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 3 0 28+1
- 11Matej Zagar1 1 13+1
- 12Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 3 2 313
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 2 3 110+1
- 14Adrian Cyfer0 1 01+1
- 15Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 W 1 17
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 3 1 3 212
- 2Piotr Pawlicki1 0 3 2 W6
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 1 T8+1
- 4Damian BalińskiU 00
- 5Jurica Pavlic1 3 0 3 310
- 6Tobiasz Musielak3 0 1 2 17+2
- 7Kamil Adamczewski1 0 2 D3
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tomasz Gollob · GORD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Damian Baliński · LESU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESW
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LESD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 10 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h N
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.3 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 87 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 3 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Damian Baliński | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 4 | 7.2 | 2 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.