GOR vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 13, 2012 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 44 : 21 ZIE
GOR
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 158.94 s3:3
Heat 258.43 s4:2
Heat 358.31 s5:1
Heat 458.38 s3:3
Heat 558.00 s5:1
Heat 659.22 s3:3
Heat 759.19 s3:3
Heat 859.34 s3:3
Heat 960.22 s5:1
Heat 1059.32 s5:1
Heat 1160.72 s5:0
Heat 12
Heat 13
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Partly cloudy → Clear
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Temperature
      10 → 8 °C
      Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
      Wind
      6 km/h W
      gusts up to 21 km/h
      Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
      Rain during the meeting
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      0.1 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Humidity
      77 %
      Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–4159+6−6
      5–7117+4−4
      8–10135+8−8
      11–1350+5−5
      GORZIEGORZIE

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead GOR
      05101520111
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1066 %
      2+277 %
      3+690 %
      4+690 %
      5+1096 %
      6+1097 %
      7+1097 %
      8+1098 %
      9+14100 %
      10+18100 %
      11+23100 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Michael Jepsen Jensen45.79+3.3
      Krzysztof Kasprzak45.89+3.2
      Niels Kristian Iversen47.38+0.7
      Matej Zagar47.17-0.1
      Rune Holta44.14-0.1
      Tomasz Gollob35.75-0.7
      Adrian Cyfer32.11-1.1
      Adam Strzelec21.20-1.2
      Bartosz Zmarzlik46.55-1.5
      Patryk Dudek47.66-1.6
      Piotr Protasiewicz57.86-1.8
      Oleksandr Loktayev32.20-2.2
      Andreas Jonsson47.44-3.4
      Jonas Davidsson47.61-6.6

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 60.7258.00 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 26.3:16.7 outside C + D
      Trend ▶ −0.88 towards the outside
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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