GOR vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 16, 2012 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 56 : 34 ZIE

GOR

9Tomasz Gollob2 2 2 1 18
10Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 1 36+2
11Matej Zagar3 2 2 3 212+3
12Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 3 3 313
13Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 3 2 313+1
14Adrian Cyfer2 0 02
15Łukasz Kaczmarek1 1 02

ZIE

1Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 1 2 W 210
2Krzysztof Jabłoński0 0 1 0 01+1
3Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 3 0 1 110
4Rune Holta0 1 3 W 2 28
6Adam StrzelecT W 1 1 02+1
7Patryk Dudek3 W3

Heat by heat

Heat 161.02 s3:3

Heat 259.69 s3:3

Heat 359.25 s4:2

Heat 459.81 s4:2

Heat 559.42 s5:1

Heat 659.71 s2:4

Heat 760.28 s3:3

Heat 860.03 s3:3

Heat 960.09 s3:3

Heat 1059.56 s5:1

Heat 1160.97 s5:1

Heat 1259.66 s3:3

Matej Zagar · GOR3
Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
Adam Strzelec · ZIE1*
Adrian Cyfer · GOR0

Heat 1360.10 s4:2

Heat 1460.68 s4:2

Heat 1560.06 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 18 → 15 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 6 km/h S; gusts up to 16 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 72 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	GOR	ZIE	GOR	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+14	100 %
12	+14	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+18	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	8.6	13	+4.4
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	10.1	13	+2.9
Oleksandr Loktayev	6	8.3	10	+1.7
Matej Zagar	5	10.5	12	+1.5
Rune Holta	5	7.0	8	+1.0
Adrian Cyfer	3	1.7	2	+0.3
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	10.0	10	-0.0
Łukasz Kaczmarek	3	2.9	2	-0.9
Jonas Davidsson	1	1.0	0	-1.0
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	7.5	6	-1.5
Patryk Dudek	2	4.6	3	-1.6
Tomasz Gollob	5	9.8	8	-1.8
Adam Strzelec	5	4.1	2	-2.1
Krzysztof Jabłoński	6	3.9	1	-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.0259.25 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 42.0:26.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.73 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source