ZIE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 9, 2012 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 45 : 45 GOR

ZIE

9Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 2 2 2 2 313+2
10Jonas Davidsson0 0 M0
11Oleksandr Loktayev1 2 0 2 3 2 111+2
12Rune HoltaD 0 3 03
14Adam Strzelec3 0 14
15Patryk Dudek2 2 3 1 T 3 314+1

GOR

1Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 3 2 011
2Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 2 16+2
3Matej Zagar2 2 3 0 07+1
4Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 1 3 210+1
5Tomasz Gollob3 3 1 1 19
6Adrian Cyfer1 1 02
7Łukasz Kaczmarek0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 160.19 s5:1

Adam Strzelec · ZIE3
Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
Łukasz Kaczmarek · GOR0

Heat 260.13 s1:5

Heat 359.53 s1:5

Heat 459.44 s3:3

Heat 560.69 s2:4

Heat 660.06 s3:3

Heat 759.72 s2:4

Heat 860.75 s1:5

Heat 960.03 s2:4

Heat 1060.00 s5:1

Heat 1160.56 s5:1

Heat 1260.63 s4:2

Heat 1360.16 s2:4

Heat 1460.31 s5:1

Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
Matej Zagar · GOR0

Heat 1559.95 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 23 → 21 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 10 km/h SE; gusts up to 22 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 64 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	ZIE	GOR	ZIE	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	0	64 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-6	22 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-8	13 %
8	-12	2 %
9	-14	3 %
10	-10	7 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-2	23 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Patryk Dudek	6	9.4	14	+4.6
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	7.1	11	+3.9
Oleksandr Loktayev	7	9.0	11	+2.0
Adam Strzelec	3	2.9	4	+1.1
Piotr Protasiewicz	7	12.2	13	+0.8
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	9.7	10	+0.3
Adrian Cyfer	3	1.8	2	+0.2
Tomasz Gollob	5	9.6	9	-0.6
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	7.2	6	-1.2
Rune Holta	4	4.6	3	-1.6
Matej Zagar	5	9.9	7	-2.9
Łukasz Kaczmarek	3	3.0	0	-3.0
Jonas Davidsson	3	3.4	0	-3.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.7559.44 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 26.7:33.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.90 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source