TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 26, 2012 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 50 : 40 GOR

TOR

9Darcy Ward2 2 2 1 310+2
10Adrian Miedziński3 1 3 1 210+2
11Ryan Sullivan2 2 3 3 313
12Karol Ząbik0 00
13Chris Holder0 2 2 0 26+1
14Kamil Pulczyński2 0 24+2
15Emil Pulczyński3 3 1 0 07+1

GOR

1Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 0 1 D3
2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 3 3 2 112+1
3Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 1 14
4Matej Zagar3 36
5Tomasz Gollob2 3 2 2 3 W12+1
6Adrian Cyfer0 0 00
7Bartosz Zmarzlik1 1 D 13+2

Heat by heat

Heat 160.65 s5:1

Heat 258.09 s5:1

Heat 358.25 s2:4

Heat 458.53 s3:3

Heat 557.37 s2:4

Heat 657.81 s2:4

Heat 758.35 s3:3

Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
Darcy Ward · TOR2
Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
Adrian Cyfer · GOR0

Heat 858.59 s3:3

Heat 958.66 s5:1

Heat 1058.06 s3:3

Heat 1158.85 s1:5

Heat 1258.10 s5:1

Heat 1358.93 s1:5

Heat 1459.06 s5:1

Heat 1559.06 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 22 → 18 °C; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind: 6 km/h SW; gusts up to 25 km/h; Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 63 %; Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	10	2	+8	−8
	TOR	GOR	TOR	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+8	96 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+2	68 %
12	+6	92 %
13	+2	74 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Ryan Sullivan	5	10.1	13	+2.9
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	9.2	12	+2.8
Emil Pulczyński	5	4.4	7	+2.6
Matej Zagar	2	3.6	6	+2.4
Adrian Miedziński	5	7.6	10	+2.4
Tomasz Gollob	6	9.9	12	+2.1
Darcy Ward	5	8.4	10	+1.6
Kamil Pulczyński	3	2.9	4	+1.1
Karol Ząbik	2	1.0	0	-1.0
Adrian Cyfer	3	1.6	0	-1.6
Bartosz Zmarzlik	4	6.2	3	-3.2
Chris Holder	5	9.8	6	-3.8
Niels Kristian Iversen	4	8.2	4	-4.2
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	7.2	3	-4.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.6557.37 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.0:30.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.60 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source