LES vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, August 7, 2012 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 2 313+1
- 10Kamil Adamczewski0 M0
- 11Troy Batchelor2 1 3 1 18+2
- 12Damian Baliński1 2 2 3 08+2
- 13Jurica Pavlic1 1 2 04+1
- 14Tobiasz Musielak3 2 0 W5
- 15Piotr Pawlicki2 2 1 3 210+2
- 1Greg Hancock3 3 3 1 3 114+2
- 2Jakub Jamróg1 01
- 3Martin Vaculik3 3 2 2 010
- 4Leon Madsen0 0 1 12+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej3 1 0 04
- 6Maciej Janowski1 2 0 2 3 210+1
- 7Kacper Gomolski0 D 11
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Maciej Janowski · TAR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1
- Kacper Gomolski · TARD
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · TAR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LESM
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · TAR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Greg Hancock · TAR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Maciej Janowski · TAR2*
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Maciej Janowski · TAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · TAR2
- Greg Hancock · TAR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 11.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | TAR | LES | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 13.1 | 14 | +0.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 9.0 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 7.2 | 2 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.