TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 5, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 50 : 40 GOR

TOR

9Chris Holder3 3 3 2 011
10Adrian Miedziński2 2 2 2 08+4
11Rune Holta3 2 1 1 310+1
12Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 2 02
13Ryan Sullivan1 3 3 3 313+1
14Kamil Pulczyński1 0 01
15Emil Pulczyński3 2 05

GOR

1Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 D 2 210+1
2Artur Mroczka00
3Matej Zagar1 1 0 13+2
4Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 1 1 1 29+1
5Tomasz Gollob3 1 1 3 3 112+1
6Łukasz Cyran0 00
7Bartosz Zmarzlik2 0 0 3 16+1

Heat by heat

Heat 161.74 s4:2

Heat 260.09 s5:1

Heat 360.52 s3:3

Heat 459.42 s3:3

Heat 559.89 s2:4

Heat 659.31 s3:3

Heat 760.12 s5:1

Heat 859.52 s3:3

Heat 959.91 s5:1

Heat 1060.06 s3:3

Heat 1159.16 s5:1

Heat 1260.06 s1:5

Heat 1359.83 s2:4

Heat 1459.48 s3:3

Heat 1559.29 s3:3

Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
Tomasz Gollob · GOR1*
Chris Holder · TOR0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 27 → 22 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 14 km/h SE; gusts up to 32 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 48 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	TOR	GOR	TOR	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+8	95 %
8	+8	94 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+16	100 %
12	+12	100 %
13	+10	100 %
14	+10	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Ryan Sullivan	5	8.3	13	+4.7
Chris Holder	5	8.8	11	+2.2
Emil Pulczyński	3	3.3	5	+1.7
Adrian Miedziński	5	6.5	8	+1.5
Rune Holta	5	8.6	10	+1.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	5.8	6	+0.2
Tomasz Gollob	6	11.9	12	+0.1
Artur Mroczka	1	0.8	0	-0.8
Niels Kristian Iversen	6	9.8	9	-0.8
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	3.3	2	-1.3
Kamil Pulczyński	3	2.5	1	-1.5
Łukasz Cyran	2	1.9	0	-1.9
Nicki Pedersen	6	12.2	10	-2.2
Matej Zagar	4	6.3	3	-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.7459.16 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.3:28.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.30 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source