LES vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 29, 2011 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Janusz Kołodziej3 2 3 3 314
- 10Adam Skornicki0 1 2 14+2
- 11Troy BatchelorD 2 3 3 210
- 12Damian Baliński3 0 1 1 05
- 13Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 3 214+1
- 14Tobiasz Musielak3 0 14
- 15Sławomir MusielakW M M0
- 1Sebastian Ułamek2 3 2 2 0 110
- 2Martin Vaculik1 1 1 03+2
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 2 0 2 39
- 4Leon Madsen1 1 13
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 2 2 1 010
- 6Edward Mazur1 0 01
- 7Tadeusz Kostro2 1 03
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR2
- Edward Mazur · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1*
- Adam Skornicki · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Troy Batchelor · LESD
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR1
- Sławomir Musielak · LESM
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Sławomir Musielak · LESM
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Adam Skornicki · LES1*
- Edward Mazur · TAR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Adam Skornicki · LES2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR2
- Adam Skornicki · LES1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Edward Mazur · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | TAR | LES | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.0 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Sebastian Ułamek | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Adam Skornicki | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Tadeusz Kostro | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Sławomir Musielak | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Edward Mazur | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.