GOR vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 29, 2011 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 52 : 38 TOR

GOR

9Matej Zagar1 3 3 3 313
10Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 1 2 07+1
11Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 3 213+1
12Artur Mroczka1 0 W 01
13Tomasz Gollob1 2 2 3 210+1
14Łukasz Cyran1 0 12
15Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 16+1

TOR

1Adrian Miedziński2 1 T W3+1
2Chris HolderW 2 3 0 1 17+1
3Ryan Sullivan2 3 0 1 3 09
4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 00
5Rune Holta3 0 2 3 2 111
6Emil Pulczyński2 0 2 1 27
7Kamil PulczyńskiD 11

Heat by heat

Heat 162.35 s4:2

Heat 260.87 s4:2

Heat 360.12 s4:2

Heat 461.18 s3:3

Heat 560.05 s3:3

Heat 660.97 s3:3

Heat 761.15 s4:2

Heat 861.88 s2:4

Heat 960.59 s4:2

Heat 1061.75 s2:4

Heat 1161.78 s5:1

Heat 1262.03 s4:2

Heat 1360.92 s3:3

Matej Zagar · GOR3
Rune Holta · TOR2
Chris Holder · TOR1*
Artur Mroczka · GOR0

Heat 1461.53 s2:4

Heat 1562.06 s5:1

Matej Zagar · GOR3
Nicki Pedersen · GOR2*
Rune Holta · TOR1
Ryan Sullivan · TOR0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 23 → 17 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 8 km/h SW; gusts up to 29 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.1 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 50 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GOR	TOR	GOR	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+8	95 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+8	94 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+10	97 %
12	+12	100 %
13	+12	100 %
14	+10	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Matej Zagar	5	6.8	13	+6.2
Nicki Pedersen	5	10.1	13	+2.9
Bartosz Zmarzlik	3	3.4	6	+2.6
Emil Pulczyński	5	5.2	7	+1.8
Rune Holta	6	9.7	11	+1.3
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	6.6	7	+0.4
Łukasz Cyran	3	3.0	2	-1.0
Tomasz Gollob	5	11.0	10	-1.0
Ryan Sullivan	6	10.1	9	-1.1
Kamil Pulczyński	2	2.1	1	-1.1
Adrian Miedziński	3	4.7	3	-1.7
Michael Jepsen Jensen	2	2.0	0	-2.0
Artur Mroczka	4	4.0	1	-3.0
Chris Holder	6	11.3	7	-4.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.3560.05 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 38.0:28.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.33 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source