TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 1, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder1 3 1 3 19+2
- 10Adrian Miedziński2 1 3 3 110
- 11Rune Holta2 3 3 3 011
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 1 13
- 13Ryan Sullivan2 2 3 1 210
- 14Kamil Pulczyński2 0 13+1
- 15Emil Pulczyński3 1 04+1
- 1Jurica Pavlic0 0 2 D2
- 2Troy Batchelor3 2 1 2 210+2
- 3Janusz Kołodziej1 1 2 0 04
- 4Damian Baliński3 3 0 06
- 5Jarosław Hampel3 0 2 2 3 313
- 6Sławomir Musielak1 2 0 25
- 7Tobiasz Musielak0 00
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Sławomir Musielak · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Sławomir Musielak · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Sławomir Musielak · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Sławomir Musielak · LES2
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LESD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 10 → 7 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h N
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 5.7 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Sławomir Musielak | 4 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 12.2 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.