TAR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 1, 2011 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 3 2 1 112
- 10Fredrik Lindgren1 1 1 14+2
- 11Bjarne Pedersen0 1 23
- 12Martin Vaculik2 T 2 0 04+1
- 13Sebastian Ułamek3 3 3 3 2 317
- 14Tadeusz KostroD 0 0 00
- 15Łukasz Lesiak1 0 01
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 3 211+1
- 2Artur Mroczka0 3 1 04+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 0 3 08
- 4Matej Zagar1 1 2 1 38+1
- 5Tomasz Gollob1 3 1 3 210+2
- 6Łukasz Cyran3 0 14
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 04+1
Heat by heat
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR1
- Tadeusz Kostro · TARD
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR1
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Łukasz Lesiak · TAR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1*
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Artur Mroczka · GOR1*
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · TAR1*
- Artur Mroczka · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · TAR2
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR1
- Tadeusz Kostro · TAR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · TAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · TAR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 89 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | GOR | TAR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ułamek | 6 | 9.1 | 17 | +7.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Łukasz Cyran | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 12.4 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Łukasz Lesiak | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Tadeusz Kostro | 4 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.