ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 2, 2011 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Andreas JonssonT 1 2 1 26+2
- 10Grzegorz Zengota2 2 0 15+1
- 11Greg Hancock1 3 3 3 111
- 12Jonas Davidsson3 2 T 2 310+1
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 3 3 D11
- 14Patryk Dudek3 3 1 1 19
- 15Adam StrzelecT 0 00
- 1Troy Batchelor1 0 0 01
- 2Adam Skornicki0 00
- 3Janusz Kołodziej0 3 3 2 2 212+1
- 4Damian Baliński2 1 1 1 D 16
- 5Jarosław Hampel2 3 2 2 3 315
- 6Tobiasz Musielak1 0 01
- 7Kamil Adamczewski2 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2*
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Adam Skornicki · LES0
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Greg Hancock · ZIE1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES1*
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Adam Strzelec · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Adam Skornicki · LES0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE2
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE1
- Damian Baliński · LESD
- Jonas Davidsson · ZIE3
- Andreas Jonsson · ZIE2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Greg Hancock · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 95 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Damian Baliński | 6 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Adam Skornicki | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Adam Strzelec | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.