TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 2, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 3 1 2 3 012+2
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 3 1 1 110+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński1 2 3 1 310
- 13Ryan Sullivan3 2 3 3 213
- 14Kamil Pulczyński2 0 0 2 D4+1
- 15Bartosz Pietrykowski1 0 01+1
- 1Tomasz Gollob1 3 2 2 19+1
- 2Artur Mroczka0 1 1 2 U4+1
- 3Matej Zagar2 3 1 0 28
- 4Niels Kristian Iversen0 1 0 01
- 5Nicki Pedersen1 3 1 2 310+1
- 6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 0 38
- 7Adrian Cyfer0 00
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
- Artur Mroczka · GOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR1*
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · GOR1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Artur Mroczka · GOR1*
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Artur Mroczka · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TORD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Artur Mroczka · GORU
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 6.3 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 5 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Pietrykowski | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 5.8 | 1 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.