LES vs RZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 10, 2011 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel2 1 2 3 311+2
- 10Jurica Pavlic3 2 3 3 314
- 11Janusz Kołodziej3 2 3 3 213+2
- 12Damian Baliński1 3 2 2 19+2
- 13Troy BatchelorD 3 1 U4
- 14Sławomir Musielak2 0 02+1
- 15Tobiasz Musielak3 U W3
- 1Lee Richardson1 1 3 1 2 08
- 2Maciej Kuciapa0 00
- 3Rafał Okoniewski0 1 0 01
- 4Chris Harris2 2 1 2 0 29
- 5Jason Crump3 3 2 1 1 111+1
- 6Dawid Lampart1 D D 12+1
- 7Łukasz KretW D0
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Sławomir Musielak · LES2*
- Dawid Lampart · RZE1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Lee Richardson · RZE1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Harris · RZE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE0
- Jason Crump · RZE3
- Troy Batchelor · LESD
- Tobiasz Musielak · LESU
- Dawid Lampart · RZED
- Damian Baliński · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Lee Richardson · RZE1
- Maciej Kuciapa · RZE0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Chris Harris · RZE2
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE1
- Jason Crump · RZE3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Dawid Lampart · RZED
- Lee Richardson · RZE3
- Jason Crump · RZE2*
- Troy Batchelor · LES1
- Sławomir Musielak · LES0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Chris Harris · RZE1
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Jason Crump · RZE1
- Łukasz Kret · RZED
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Chris Harris · RZE2
- Lee Richardson · RZE1
- Troy Batchelor · LESU
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Lee Richardson · RZE2
- Dawid Lampart · RZE1*
- Sławomir Musielak · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Damian Baliński · LES2*
- Jason Crump · RZE1
- Chris Harris · RZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Chris Harris · RZE2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Rafał Okoniewski · RZE0
- Jurica Pavlic · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Jason Crump · RZE1
- Lee Richardson · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 21 km/h N
- gusts up to 54 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 7 | +7 | −7 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LES | RZE | LES | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +7 | 93 % |
| 5 | +11 | 97 % |
| 6 | +11 | 99 % |
| 7 | +11 | 99 % |
| 8 | +7 | 94 % |
| 9 | +11 | 99 % |
| 10 | +15 | 100 % |
| 11 | +15 | 100 % |
| 12 | +15 | 100 % |
| 13 | +19 | 100 % |
| 14 | +21 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 4.5 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Damian Baliński | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Sławomir Musielak | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Maciej Kuciapa | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jason Crump | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| Lee Richardson | 6 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Łukasz Kret | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.