TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 18, 2011 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 2 3 3 010+1
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 2 3 19+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński2 3 2 1 210+2
- 12Rune Holta3 1 1 16+1
- 13Ryan Sullivan2 3 1 2 311+1
- 14Kamil Pulczyński2 0 02
- 15Bartosz Pietrykowski1 0 01+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel1 2 2 2 2 312+2
- 2Adam Skornicki0 00
- 3Troy Batchelor0 2 3 0 0 05
- 4Damian Baliński1 1 13+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 1 0 212+1
- 6Tobiasz Musielak3 1 0 3 18
- 7Kamil Adamczewski0 11
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR2
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR1*
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Adam Skornicki · LES0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Kamil Adamczewski · LES1
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Adam Skornicki · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Damian Baliński · LES1*
- Bartosz Pietrykowski · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Troy Batchelor · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kamil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h SE
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Kamil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Pietrykowski | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Adam Skornicki | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Kamil Adamczewski | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 14.6 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Troy Batchelor | 6 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.