LES vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 11, 2011 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 53 : 36 TOR
LES
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 162.03 s3:3
Heat 260.91 s5:1
Heat 361.22 s3:3
Heat 460.94 s3:3
Heat 561.09 s5:1
Heat 660.84 s1:5
Heat 760.38 s4:2
Heat 861.12 s5:1
Heat 960.44 s3:3
Heat 1060.88 s3:3
Heat 1160.91 s3:3
Heat 1261.19 s4:2
Heat 1361.50 s5:1
Heat 1461.82 s3:2
Heat 1561.10 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
28 → 24 °C
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind
7 km/h S
gusts up to 16 km/h
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
65 %
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–7108+2−2
8–10117+4−4
11–13126+6−6
14–1565+1−1
LESTORLESTOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LES
051015115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+486 %
3+482 %
4+483 %
5+894 %
6+482 %
7+690 %
8+1098 %
9+1097 %
10+1096 %
11+1097 %
12+12100 %
13+16100 %
14+17100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Damian Baliński55.610+4.4
Tobiasz Musielak33.17+3.9
Jarosław Hampel511.714+2.3
Ryan Sullivan611.914+2.1
Troy Batchelor58.210+1.8
Janusz Kołodziej56.48+1.6
Adrian Miedziński11.72+0.3
Adam Skornicki43.33-0.3
Kamil Pulczyński32.51-1.5
Chris Holder612.010-2.0
Kamil Adamczewski34.01-3.0
Emil Pulczyński56.03-3.0
Michael Jepsen Jensen45.12-3.1
Rune Holta58.44-4.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.0360.38 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.7:28.3 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +1.07 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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