CZE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 17, 2011 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 2 2 2 312+1
- 10Artem Laguta1 1 3 1 39+2
- 11Peter Karlsson1 0 2 25
- 12Rafał Szombierski2 3 1 0 06+1
- 13Daniel Nermark2 3 3 2 W10
- 14Artur Czaja0 0 00
- 15Marcin Bubel3 0 14
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 3 110
- 2Hans Andersen0 1 12+2
- 3Matej Zagar3 2 0 0 16+1
- 4Niels Kristian IversenD D 1 1 24
- 5Tomasz Gollob3 3 3 3 3 217
- 6Łukasz Cyran1 01+1
- 7Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 0 14
Heat by heat
- Marcin Bubel · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR1*
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Artem Laguta · CZE1
- Hans Andersen · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE2
- Peter Karlsson · CZE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GORD
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Daniel Nermark · CZE2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Marcin Bubel · CZE0
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Hans Andersen · GOR1*
- Peter Karlsson · CZE0
- Daniel Nermark · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Marcin Bubel · CZE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GORD
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE2
- Artem Laguta · CZE1*
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR0
- Daniel Nermark · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Hans Andersen · GOR1*
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · CZE3
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Peter Karlsson · CZE2
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Daniel Nermark · CZE2
- Artem Laguta · CZE1*
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Peter Karlsson · CZE2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Artur Czaja · CZE0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · CZE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Rafał Szombierski · CZE0
- Grigorij Laguta · CZE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 27 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SE
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| CZE | GOR | CZE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 13.7 | 17 | +3.3 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Marcin Bubel | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Rafał Szombierski | 5 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Łukasz Cyran | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Hans Andersen | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Artur Czaja | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.6 | 4 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.