GOR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, July 7, 2010 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Tomasz Gapiński2 T 2 2 17+2
- 10David Ruud00
- 11Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 010+1
- 12Matej Zagar3 1 2 1 29+3
- 13Tomasz Gollob3 3 3 3 315
- 14Paweł Zmarzlik2 1 0 14
- 15Przemysław PawlickiW 2 3 3 210+2
- 1Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 0 2 210
- 2Chris Holder3 0 1 1 05+1
- 3Ryan Sullivan1 0 0 34
- 4Hans Andersen0 2 1 3 17+1
- 5Wiesław Jaguś1 2 1 04
- 6Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 1 0 04
- 7Emil Pulczyński11
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR3
- Paweł Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- David Ruud · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Paweł Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Paweł Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2*
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Paweł Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1*
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 2 km/h NE
- gusts up to 14 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | TOR | GOR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 4.7 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Paweł Zmarzlik | 4 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| David Ruud | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4 | 7.5 | 4 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.