TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 23, 2010 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś1 1 3 0 16+2
- 10Hans Andersen2 2 2 1 07+2
- 11Chris Holder1 3 2 2 08
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 1 0 15
- 13Ryan Sullivan2 3 0 2 29
- 14Darcy Ward3 0 2 2 07+1
- 15Emil Pulczyński11
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 2 1 0 3 110
- 2Simon Gustafsson0 00
- 3Matej Zagar2 0 1 0 3 28+1
- 4Zbigniew Suchecki00
- 5Tomasz Gollob3 3 1 3 2 315+1
- 6Łukasz Cyran2 1 03
- 7Przemysław PawlickiW 1 3 3 1 311
Heat by heat
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1*
- Simon Gustafsson · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Zbigniew Suchecki · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Simon Gustafsson · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1*
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2*
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1*
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Darcy Ward · TOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 5.5 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 12.5 | 15 | +2.5 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Łukasz Cyran | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Zbigniew Suchecki | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 12.3 | 10 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.