ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 16, 2010 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Grzegorz Zengota1 W1+1
- 10Greg Hancock2 2 3 2 09+1
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 2 3 312
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 3 1 3 312+1
- 13Rafał Dobrucki0 2 1 3 17
- 14Patryk Dudek3 1 1 0 16+1
- 15Oleksandr Loktayev2 1 W3+1
- 1Tomasz Gollob3 2 2 2 D 110+2
- 2David RuudT 0 3 14
- 3Matej ZagarD 0 2 02
- 4Tomasz Gapiński1 3 W 15
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 3 D 2 2 211+1
- 6Simon Gustafsson00
- 7Przemysław Pawlicki1 0 3 1 3 08
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Simon Gustafsson · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GORD
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- David Ruud · GOR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- David Ruud · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Nicki Pedersen · GORD
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2*
- David Ruud · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Tomasz Gollob · GORD
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1*
- Greg Hancock · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h NW
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| David Ruud | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.1 | 11 | -2.1 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 13.6 | 10 | -3.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 6.8 | 2 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.