LES vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 26, 2010 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 39 : 27 ZIE
LES
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 160.57 s3:3
Heat 259.68 s3:3
Heat 359.81 s5:1
Heat 459.60 s5:1
Heat 558.91 s4:2
Heat 660.13 s3:3
Heat 761.81 s2:4
Heat 862.16 s1:5
Heat 961.41 s5:1
Heat 1061.81 s5:1
Heat 1163.53 s3:3
Heat 12
Heat 13
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Rain → Showers
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Temperature
      14 → 12 °C
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Wind
      17 km/h W
      gusts up to 32 km/h
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Rain during the meeting
      2.2 mm
      Rain likely: a second model agrees
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      2.3 mm
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
      Humidity
      98 %
      Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–4168+8−8
      5–79900
      8–10117+4−4
      11–133300
      LESZIELESZIE

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead LES
      024681012111
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1066 %
      2064 %
      3+482 %
      4+893 %
      5+1096 %
      6+1097 %
      7+895 %
      8+483 %
      9+894 %
      10+12100 %
      11+12100 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Jurica Pavlic54.56+1.5
      Rafał Dobrucki44.86+1.2
      Jarosław Hampel47.88+0.2
      Sławomir Musielak11.11-0.1
      Troy Batchelor44.44-0.4
      Janusz Kołodziej48.58-0.5
      Damian Baliński46.66-0.6
      Patryk Dudek56.15-1.1
      Oleksandr Loktayev11.20-1.2
      Fredrik Lindgren45.34-1.3
      Piotr Protasiewicz46.14-2.1
      Niels Kristian Iversen33.41-2.4
      Leigh Adams48.66-2.6
      Greg Hancock59.77-2.7

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 63.5358.91 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 21.0:19.7 outside C + D
      Trend ▶ −0.97 towards the outside
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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