TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 5, 2010 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 1 2 1 310+1
- 10Wiesław Jaguś0 3 1 1 16+1
- 11Ryan Sullivan3 2 2 3 111+1
- 12Hans Andersen1 1 3 2 07+1
- 13Adrian Miedziński2 1 W 03+1
- 14Emil Pulczyński11
- 15Darcy Ward3 1 2 1 18+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 3 2 3 2 315+1
- 2Troy Batchelor1 0 01+1
- 3Janusz Kołodziej2 3 3 3 2 215+2
- 4Damian Baliński0 0 0 00
- 5Leigh Adams3 2 1 3 211
- 6Jurica Pavlic0 0 00
- 7Sławomir Musielak2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Darcy Ward · TOR3
- Sławomir Musielak · LES2
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Troy Batchelor · LES1*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1*
- Sławomir Musielak · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1*
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Darcy Ward · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Sławomir Musielak · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Darcy Ward · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Leigh Adams · LES3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Hans Andersen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 11.3 | 15 | +3.7 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 11.7 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Leigh Adams | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Sławomir Musielak | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 7.0 | 0 | -7.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.