ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 15, 2010 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Greg Hancock3 3 3 1 212
- 10Grzegorz Zengota1 W 2 0 25+1
- 11Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 3 18+1
- 12Rafał Dobrucki0 3 D 03
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 2 2 09
- 14Patryk Dudek3 1 1 1 28+2
- 15Oleksandr Loktayev22+1
- 2David Ruud0 M0
- 3Matej Zagar2 2 0 0 1 38+1
- 4Tomasz Gapiński2 3 2 1 2 0 111+1
- 5Tomasz Gollob3 2 W 3 3 3 317
- 6Simon Gustafsson1 1 13
- 7Przemysław Pawlicki0 0 3 1 04
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Simon Gustafsson · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- David Ruud · GOR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- David Ruud · GORM
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Simon Gustafsson · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Greg Hancock · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIED
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Simon Gustafsson · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR2*
- Greg Hancock · ZIE1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Greg Hancock · ZIE2
- Tomasz Gapiński · GOR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h SE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 7 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 1 | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 7 | 17.3 | 17 | -0.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| David Ruud | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.